It’s the penultimate gameweek of the FPL season and there’s still lots to play for. Last gameweek there was a healthy 7 clean sheets, with lots of fantasy managers benefitting from Shaw auto-subbing off the bench and Pervis Estupiñán entering FPL hall of fame with his 17 point-haul.
If you’re here, you’re either looking to extend your run of picking up points at the back, or desperately seeking retribution. Either way, we’ve got the odds and the underlying defensive statistics to help positively influence your decisions.
Gameweek 37 Clean Sheet Odds
| Team | Clean Sheet Odds |
|---|---|
| Man City | 64% |
| Man United | 58% |
| Brighton | 57% |
| Newcastle | 39% |
| Liverpool | 35% |
| Arsenal | 35% |
| Tottenham | 32% |
| Fulham | 30% |
| Wolves | 28% |
| Everton | 27% |
| West Ham | 25% |
| Crystal Palace | 25% |
| Leeds | 21% |
| Chelsea | 17% |
| Brentford | 16% |
| Forest | 11% |
| Bournemouth | 10% |
| Aston Villa | 10% |
| Leicester | 9% |
| Southampton | 6% |
Contextualising the odds
Odds seem accurate:
Man City (52%) vs Chelsea: These odds seem fair based on Man City’s excellent defensive form at home (3.28 xGA, last 5) and facing against a Chelsea team with poor attacking form away (5.13 xG, last 5).
Odds seem low:
Man United (36%) vs Chelsea: Similar to the Man City summary above. Man United’s defensive form has been excellent at home (3.48 xGA, last 5) whilst Chelsea have been poor attacking away from home (5.13 xG, last 5).
Tottenham (34%) vs Brentford: Tottenham’s home form has been good as of late (6.58 xGA, last 5) and the same cannot be said for Brentford’s attacking form on the road (4.32 xG, last 5).
Liverpool (38%) vs Villa: Liverpool are in very good defensive form at home (4.63 xGA, last 5) and face against an Aston Villa side with poor attacking form away from home (6.17 xG, last 5).
Fulham vs Palace (27%): Crystal Palace’s defence has been good away from home of late (5.52 xGA, last 5) and this week travel to Fulham who have had a terrible attacking output at home recently (4.7 xG, last 5).
Odds seem high:
Brighton (50%) vs Southampton: Whilst there’s a gulf between quality in the sides, Brighton coming off an incredible season and Southampton the opposite. The odds do still seem high.
Brighton have been in poor defensive form at home (7.36 xGA, last 5) whilst Southampton have been in surprisingly good attacking form away from home (7.14 xG, last 5). I guess this will come down to whether Southampton have already downed tools or plan to restore some pride.
Check out the Ultimate Gameweek 37 Tips article!
